Preliminary analysis prepared independently by House Strategies Group LLC from public data, ahead of the City of Frederick's forthcoming supplier diversity assessment and disparity study RFP (draft under review). Not affiliated with or endorsed by the City of Frederick. Every figure carries its source and its limits. Not a procurement-disparity finding.

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Preliminary · public data · independent of the City of Frederick

Frederick measured itself, then built the programs. The update tests what they changed.

A preliminary landscape analysis for the City of Frederick's forthcoming supplier diversity assessment and disparity study RFP (draft under review), built entirely from public data: the City's 2021 baseline, the programs the City built from its recommendations, and the questions the update must answer in an era that demands evidence built to survive review. It is the data, analytics, and visualization capability House Strategies Group is putting forward to lead the study.

0
Categories with significant MWBE disparity, 2021
All five studied, surviving regression controls
0.00%
MWBE availability, Professional Services (2021)
Against 0.00% prime utilization across five years
0.00%
Of MWBE prime dollars went to one firm
FY2014-FY2018, a single construction firm
0%
Of 2022 spend reached S/M/WBE firms
$8.8M of $44M, first annual program review

Sources: the City's 2021 Disparity Study (Griffin & Strong, P.C.); City of Frederick program record and the 2022 annual program review; U.S. Census Annual Business Survey 2022. A gap is a question, not a verdict; preliminary public-data reads carry their limits inline.

What this is

Frederick is not starting from zero. That changes what the update must do.

A procurement disparity study asks a single, measurable question: do minority- and women-owned firms win public contracts in proportion to how many of them are ready, willing, and able to do the work? The City of Frederick answered a first version of that question in 2021 and then acted on it. This portal reads the public record since, so the City can see the analytical approach before a single primary record is collected.

The City's 2021 study, conducted by Griffin & Strong, P.C., found statistically significant MWBE underutilization in all five categories it measured, findings that survived regression controls. The City then built what the study recommended: annual aspirational goals set at the study's measured availability levels, a race-neutral Small Business Reserve, and dedicated compliance staffing. The first annual review reported about 20 percent of 2022 procurement spend, $8.8M of $44M, reaching small, women-owned, or minority-owned firms.

The forthcoming update is the first test of what those programs changed. And the era has raised the bar for what counts as evidence: a federal court permanently enjoined Houston's MBE program in July 2026, and Maryland's 2026 reauthorization of its own MBE program codifies race-neutral-first. The methodology page is explicit about what a full, Croson-defensible study adds that public data cannot.

Frederick County employer firms
5,298
ABS 2022, smallest published geography containing the City
MWBE prime share, FY2014-FY2018
25.09%
2021 study: $22.9M of $91.2M analyzed
MWBE prime dollars, Professional Services
0.00%
2021 study, vs 31.59% availability
Of MWBE prime dollars to one firm
96.58%
2021 study concentration finding
2022 spend to S/M/WBE firms
~20%
First annual review: $8.8M of $44M
County 2026 index (separate government)
24.22
Substantial, yet legal threshold unmet: subcontractor records

The 2021 record

Significant disparity in all five categories. Two of them at zero.

In the 2021 record, MWBE prime utilization fell significantly short of availability in every category. Professional Services and Goods recorded zero MWBE prime dollars across all five study years. And 96.58 percent of all MWBE prime dollars went to a single construction firm, so the aggregate 25.09 percent MWBE share rests almost entirely on one vendor. A gap is a question, not a verdict: the study's own anecdotal record pointed at an entrenched informal network and unmonitored good-faith efforts, and the update must test what the City's programs did to those mechanisms.

The 2021 disparity index by category

Prime utilization ÷ availability, MWBE combined. Below 0.80 flags substantial disparity; all five categories were statistically significant.

Source: The City's 2021 Disparity Study (Griffin & Strong, P.C.), category grid. Figures are the study's own.

The first test

The City built what the 2021 study recommended. The update measures what changed.

Aspirational goals at measured availability, the Small Business Reserve, compliance staffing, and required annual reviews all followed the study. The only public program read so far is the 2022 review: about 20 percent of procurement spend reached small, women-owned, or minority-owned firms, and 154 SBEs have been certified since January 2022. No later annual reports or utilization dashboard have been published. Task 3 of the City's forthcoming RFP is a programs assessment; this module is the head start.

The cautionary tale next door
Frederick County, a separate government, released its first disparity study in March 2026: a combined index of 24.22, substantial on its face, yet the County could not meet the legal threshold for race- or gender-conscious remedies because only 27 percent of prime contractors kept subcontractor records. The City's own 2021 study flagged the same gap: zero tracked subcontractors in FY2018. The update's value depends on fixing the data architecture, not just recomputing ratios. See Benchmarks.

Why House Strategies Group

This work needs new voices.

A handful of firms have produced most disparity studies for a generation, and the experience requirement the studies measure also guards the field. A study about open competition is more credible when the field that produces it is open too. House Strategies Group intends to be one of the new voices, and earn the seat with rigor and transparency.

The analysis

The modules, one preliminary picture.

Each module is a self-contained piece of the disparity-study workflow, built so an evaluator can see exactly how House Strategies Group would run the study.

Our ApproachHow we work. The basic ratio is the surface read any study can produce. We go further to pinpoint the cause of a gap and turn it into targeted, actionable recommendations.Open
The 2021 BaselineWhat the City's 2021 study found: availability, utilization, and disparity by category and group, the concentration finding, and the recommendations the City acted on.Open
The ProgramsWhat the City built after 2021: the Small Business Reserve, the MWBE goals, compliance staffing, annual reviews. What the public record shows so far, and the questions Task 3 must answer.Open
AvailabilityWho is in the market now. Firm counts by owner demographics from ABS 2022 and NES-D 2022 for Frederick County, the two-county metro proxy, and the Washington CBSA.Open
UtilizationWhere the dollars went. The 2021 study's utilization record and the program-era figures the public record supports, with their limits stated inline.Open
Disparity IndexUtilization measured against availability: the 2021 category grid, and what a preliminary current read can and cannot say before primary data.Open
BarriersWhat causes a gap. Cited barriers to diverse-firm participation, each paired with the exact method the full study uses to investigate it.Open
Market MapWhy this geography. Firm density and diverse-firm share across the market-area geographies behind the availability analysis.Open
MethodologyHow it was built, what it can and cannot show, and the Croson legal framework a defensible study must satisfy.Open
Data + QuestionsThe full working inventory: every dataset the study needs, every survey item, every interview prompt, published in advance.Open
BenchmarksHow peers did it. Maryland's recent disparity studies, the county's 2026 study next door, and small-city price comparisons.Open
New VoicesWhy this work needs new voices. The field is concentrated among a few firms; House Strategies Group intends to be one of the new ones, and here is the case.Open
The TeamThe bench. Named study credentials carried by the people who hold them, with provenance stated. Access-gated for evaluators.Open
Read this as preliminary
Every figure on this site traces to a named public source shown beneath each chart. Public data establishes a credible first read of the landscape. It cannot, on its own, support a constitutionally defensible remedy. The methodology page draws that line clearly and lists what the full study adds. Data generated 2026-08-16.